Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.000062 0.000065 0.000068 0.000072 0.000075 0.000079 0.000083
2025-03-09 0.000056 0.000060 0.000064 0.000069 0.000075 0.000081 0.000089
2025-03-16 0.000052 0.000057 0.000063 0.000069 0.000077 0.000085 0.000096
2025-03-23 0.000051 0.000056 0.000063 0.000070 0.000079 0.000090 0.000104
2025-03-30 0.000048 0.000054 0.000061 0.000069 0.000080 0.000092 0.000108
2025-04-06 0.000045 0.000051 0.000058 0.000067 0.000078 0.000091 0.000110
2025-04-13 0.000043 0.000048 0.000055 0.000064 0.000076 0.000090 0.000109
2025-04-20 0.000040 0.000046 0.000053 0.000062 0.000073 0.000088 0.000109
2025-04-27 0.000038 0.000044 0.000051 0.000061 0.000073 0.000088 0.000110
2025-05-04 0.000038 0.000044 0.000052 0.000061 0.000074 0.000092 0.000117
2025-05-11 0.000037 0.000044 0.000052 0.000062 0.000076 0.000095 0.000123
2025-05-18 0.000038 0.000044 0.000053 0.000064 0.000080 0.000101 0.000134
2025-05-25 0.000036 0.000043 0.000051 0.000063 0.000079 0.000101 0.000137
2025-06-01 0.000034 0.000041 0.000049 0.000061 0.000077 0.000100 0.000138
2025-06-08 0.000034 0.000040 0.000049 0.000061 0.000078 0.000103 0.000144
2025-06-15 0.000033 0.000040 0.000049 0.000062 0.000080 0.000107 0.000155
2025-06-22 0.000032 0.000039 0.000048 0.000061 0.000080 0.000108 0.000159
2025-06-29 0.000031 0.000038 0.000046 0.000059 0.000078 0.000106 0.000158
2025-07-06 0.000030 0.000036 0.000044 0.000057 0.000075 0.000103 0.000155
2025-07-13 0.000028 0.000035 0.000043 0.000055 0.000073 0.000101 0.000152
2025-07-20 0.000027 0.000034 0.000042 0.000054 0.000072 0.000100 0.000153
2025-07-27 0.000027 0.000034 0.000042 0.000054 0.000074 0.000104 0.000163
2025-08-03 0.000027 0.000033 0.000042 0.000055 0.000075 0.000107 0.000172